The Bigger picture

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Home > The bigger picture

For me, investment is about a rational, disciplined analysis of the fundamentals of individual businesses and the broader industries and economies in which they operate. That allows me to form judgements about the intrinsic value of those individual businesses and make investment decisions based upon the differences between the market’s perception of value and my own.

In the broader economic context, I don’t feel the need to form specific forecasts for things like inflation, GDP growth and unemployment – but I do try to form a clear understanding of their likely direction of travel. Again, there is an opportunity to take advantage of differences between my own expectations and those that are implied in market valuations. It’s about trying to understand what’s priced in to the market’s expectations and exploiting situations where the consensus has, for a variety of potential reasons (in my view, for example, markets are neither rational or disciplined most of the time), got things wrong.

Going forward, I expect the investment backdrop to look very different to the one that has prevailed for the last two years. And it is an environment for which I am very confident that the Woodford funds are positioned appropriately. Here’s a selection of things that I expect to happen as the year unfolds, and their implications for financial markets and for the funds.

Neil Woodford

Neil Woodford
Head of Investment

Global liquidity

In this inter-connected, globalised economy, dollar liquidity is the grease in the wheels of the global financial system…

Read more

China growth

There is growing evidence to suggest that Chinese priorities will be very different to the ‘growth at all costs’ mantra of recent years…

Read more

UK economy

I believe that the market consensus has misread the outlook for the UK, where economic fundamentals are improving, not deteriorating…

Read more

Valuation stretch

The bubble-like characteristics in markets will reverse in 2018, as fundamentals reassert themselves…

Read more

What are the risks?

  • The value of investments and any income from them may go down as well as up, so you may get back less than you invested
  • Past performance cannot be relied upon as a guide to future performance
  • The annual management charge applicable to the funds is charged to capital, so the income of the funds may be higher but capital growth may be restricted or capital may be eroded
  • The funds may invest in other transferable securities, money market instruments, warrants, collective investment schemes and deposits
  • The funds may invest in overseas securities and be exposed to currencies other than pound sterling
  • The LF Woodford Income Focus Fund will be invested in a concentrated portfolio of securities – the fund is not restricted by reference to any geographical region, sector or market capitalisation
  • The LF Woodford Equity Income Fund may invest in unquoted securities, which may be less liquid and more difficult to realise than publicly traded securities

Important information

Before investing, you should read the Key Investor Information Document (KIID) for the fund, and the Prospectus which, along with our terms and conditions, can be obtained from the downloads page or from our registered office. If you have a financial adviser, you should seek their advice before investing. Woodford Investment Management Ltd is not authorised to provide investment advice.

You should note that capital is at risk with these investments and you may get back less than you invested. The value of the fund or trust as well as any income paid will fluctuate which may partly be the result of exchange rate changes.

The price of shares in the Woodford Patient Capital Trust is determined by market supply and demand, and this may be different to the net asset value of the trust.

The Woodford Patient Capital Trust currently intends to conduct its affairs so that its securities can be recommended by IFAs to ordinary retail investors in accordance with the FCA’s rules in relation to non-mainstream investment products and intends to continue to do so for the foreseeable future. The securities are excluded from the FCA’s restrictions which apply to non-mainstream investment products because they are shares in an investment trust.

Young businesses have a different risk profile to mature blue-chip companies – risks are much more stock-specific, which implies a lower correlation with equity markets and the wider economy. Long-term outcomes are more binary – extremely attractive rewards for success but some businesses will inevitably fail to fulfil their potential and this may expose Woodford Patient Capital Trust investors to the risk of capital losses. As it can take years for young businesses to fulfil their potential, this investment requires patience.

Woodford Investment Management Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (firm reference number 745433). Incorporated in England and Wales, company number 10118169. Registered address 9400 Garsington Road, Oxford OX4 2HN.

Woodford Patient Capital Trust plc is incorporated in England and Wales, company number 09405653. Registered as an investment company under section 833 of the Companies Act 2006. Registered address Beaufort House, 51 New North Road, Exeter, EX4 4EP.

The Woodford Funds (Ireland) ICAV (the “Fund”) has appointed as Swiss Representative Oligo Swiss Fund Services SA, Av. Villamont 17, 1005 Lausanne, Switzerland. The Fund’s Swiss paying agent is Neue Helvetische Bank AG. All fund documentation including, Prospectus, Key Investor Information Documents, Instrument of Incorporation and financial reports may be obtained free of charge from the Swiss Representative in Lausanne. The place of performance and jurisdiction for all shares distributed in or from Switzerland is at the registered office of the Swiss Representative. Fund prices can be found at www.fundinfo.com.

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