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9 results found for `deflation`
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Insights

Contrasting expectations

Mitchell Fraser-Jones 29 June 2017 6 min read

While we have a positive view on the domestic economy, we remain considerably more cautious about the prospects for the global economy.

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Blog

Triffin’s dilemma

Neil Woodford 8 July 2016 4 min read

In 1960, the Belgian American economist Robert Triffin argued that the Fed could either run policy that was right for the US or it could run policy appropriate for the rest of the world. He was proved right – ‘Triffin’s dilemma’ had identified a dynamic that would ultimately lead to the collapse of the Bretton Woods fixed exchange rate system in the early 1970s. Find out why Neil believes ‘Triffin’s dilemma’ is alive and well in modern financial markets.

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Insights

Fighting the last war

David McWilliams 23 February 2016 12 min read

We are a collection of memories and experiences that can morph into fears, hopes and blind misconceptions. Yet central bankers have spent most of their lives fighting that old enemy, inflation.

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Blog

Neil Woodford on market sell-off

Mitchell Fraser-Jones 16 October 2014 3 min read

Given the recent market declines, we took the opportunity to film Neil for his latest views.

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Insights

Why we fear deflation

David McWilliams 13 October 2014 5 min read

In the same way as a bad cold can lead to pneumonia, too much debt can lead to deflation because deleveraging after a credit boom will typically torpedo demand, leading to falling prices.

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Insights

Fund roundup/ September 2014

Mitchell Fraser-Jones 7 October 2014 4 min read

The FTSE All Share Index declined by -2.8% in September in total return terms. The CF Woodford Equity Income Fund, has thus far withstood these volatile conditions resolutely as we had hoped it would, given our cautious views and strategy.

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Insights

Fund roundup/ August 2014

Mitchell Fraser-Jones 4 September 2014 4 min read

After a weak start to the month, the UK stock market rebounded strongly to post a solid gain during August as a whole, despite generally disappointing economic data which suggests that the global economy is losing momentum. Europe in particular, faces a troubling outlook…

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Blog

Europe’s clear & present danger

Neil Woodford 5 June 2014 2 min read

We live in an extraordinary world, where the market eagerly anticipates the idea of negative interest rates without really thinking at all about the underlying problems that make such an extraordinary policy necessary.

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Insights

Germany’s got it covered

David McWilliams 9 May 2014 5 min read

European bond and equity markets are booming. Bond yields are pricing in little or no risk in countries that can neither balance their books nor pay their way and whose living standards continue to be rented not earned. Despite rising public debts, falling consumer prices, historically high rates of unemployment, dodgy banking systems and zero bound growth rates, investors are rushing to lend at ridiculously low rates to countries that have no viable way of paying this money back.

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